In this truly fascinating and often darkly funny book Gardner examines a wide range of expert predictions and finds them wanting. He shows how seminal research by Professor Philip Tetlock proved that the more famous the expert, the more likely they are to be right about as often as a stopped watch. And yet every day we ask them to predict the future - everything from the weather and the price of oil to the likelihood of a terrorist attack and the state of global economics. But if expert predictions have such a poor track record, why do we keep wanting them and believing them? Gardner puts this down to an aversion of uncertainty and need to control our environment. Unfortunately, uncertainty is omnipresent and we always feel the uncertainty and change we are experiencing at this moment is greater than ever – this feeling makes us hunger for predictions about the future. So if you’ve ever wondered about what the future will hold, this is the book for you – you will feel better about the uncertain times to come!